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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.03+8.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+6.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.23vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.12+4.69vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.94+4.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.71+6.91vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65-1.29vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.64-2.23vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-3.46vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.70-0.41vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.33+0.13vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-5.23vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.23vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-3.15vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.82-2.26vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.20-1.62vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.38-13.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.69Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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7.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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13.91Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.71Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.54Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.59Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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12.13Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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15.38Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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4.26Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 17.3% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 41.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 17.4% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.