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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1-0.08+5.18vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.41+3.06vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.26+3.67vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+0.38vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+2.12vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.43-1.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93+1.56vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.90+0.89vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.01-4.24vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.79-2.88vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.08-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18-0.088.8%1st Place
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5.06University of Texas0.4111.9%1st Place
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6.67Fordham University-0.266.2%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6015.3%1st Place
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7.12Florida Institute of Technology-0.486.0%1st Place
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4.84Columbia University0.4313.6%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.933.6%1st Place
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8.89Williams College-0.903.3%1st Place
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6.34SUNY Maritime College-0.138.6%1st Place
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5.76University of Michigan-0.019.6%1st Place
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8.12Washington College-0.794.7%1st Place
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6.08Princeton University-0.088.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Leyk | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Robert Upton | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Sam Carson | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.6% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 22.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 29.1% |
| Luke Barker | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% |
| Advik Eswaran | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.