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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+7.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+2.35vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+5.95vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.70+6.22vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03+3.94vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.32+4.75vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65-1.45vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.91vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.64-3.15vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.20+4.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.71+2.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.56-6.17vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.50vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-7.34vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.94-6.60vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-3.36vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.33-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.95Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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15.31Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
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14.13Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.4University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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11.58Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 41.2% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 22.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.