← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.12+7.83vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.35+5.84vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.70+7.54vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.65+2.50vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.03+3.89vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.15+2.52vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+2.84vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.56-1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan1.32+2.76vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.11-2.24vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.38-7.51vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston2.64-6.48vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida1.94-4.93vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University0.71-1.16vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia0.82-2.39vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.33-5.11vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University0.20-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.83Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.84George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
10.54Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
6.5Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.89Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.52University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.86U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.76University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.76Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
4.49Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
6.52College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.07University of South Florida1.940.0%1st Place
-
13.84Tufts University0.710.0%1st Place
-
13.61University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.89Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
15.16Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Cox | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.2% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Ann Sheridan | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 17.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Grace Siwicki | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.