Race 1A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Filip Stevanovic 21.6% 19.1% 17.4% 16.2% 11.6% 8.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 16.7% 22.5% 16.6% 17.6% 11.3% 8.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Nicholas Manfredi 18.3% 15.8% 17.4% 14.0% 16.7% 9.7% 5.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Nick Chisari 22.1% 18.9% 19.5% 15.4% 11.4% 7.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Samantha Mislinski 3.8% 5.8% 6.7% 8.5% 10.2% 13.7% 19.5% 19.2% 12.6%
Mike Preston 7.9% 8.7% 10.5% 11.9% 15.7% 18.0% 16.4% 8.8% 2.1%
Natalie Jones 4.9% 5.0% 6.2% 9.2% 11.1% 17.8% 19.4% 18.7% 7.7%
Audrey Fulk 3.4% 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 8.4% 11.7% 17.1% 28.4% 19.2%
Natalie Lovelace 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 3.6% 4.5% 9.3% 18.7% 57.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.