Race 2A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Manfredi 16.9% 18.5% 14.9% 17.5% 14.3% 9.8% 5.3% 2.7% 0.1%
Natalie Jones 3.6% 4.5% 6.4% 7.8% 12.2% 15.8% 22.0% 18.5% 9.2%
Filip Stevanovic 20.4% 18.4% 19.7% 15.5% 12.0% 9.3% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 22.1% 21.0% 18.5% 14.2% 12.3% 8.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Samantha Mislinski 3.9% 4.9% 7.8% 8.4% 9.9% 13.8% 19.7% 20.1% 11.5%
Mike Preston 8.2% 8.2% 10.4% 13.1% 14.5% 18.0% 15.8% 9.1% 2.7%
Nick Chisari 20.3% 19.7% 16.5% 16.6% 13.6% 8.4% 3.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Natalie Lovelace 1.4% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 3.8% 4.4% 8.1% 18.3% 58.5%
Audrey Fulk 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 7.4% 12.5% 18.5% 28.9% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.