← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.08+2.28vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.12+3.15vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.11+0.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland-0.35+1.70vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.06-1.77vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.47vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.80vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-1.79-0.05vs Predicted
-
9William and Mary-0.87-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
-
5.15William and Mary0.120.1%1st Place
-
3.25Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
-
5.7University of Maryland-0.350.1%1st Place
-
3.23Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
-
3.53SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
-
6.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
7.95Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.71William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stevanovic | 20.3% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mike Preston | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 20.9% | 21.0% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Jones | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 7.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 22.5% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 16.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 21.3% | 10.6% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 60.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 29.9% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.