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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.06+2.32vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.08+1.44vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+0.21vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.52vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.12-0.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.35-1.15vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.27vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.79-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
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3.44Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.21Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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3.48SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
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4.86William and Mary0.120.1%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Maryland-0.350.1%1st Place
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6.73William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.92Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 20.4% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 16.1% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hodges | 22.7% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 19.5% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mike Preston | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.6% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 10.4% |
| Natalie Jones | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 18.2% | 7.2% |
| Audrey Fulk | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 25.9% | 20.1% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.