Race 5A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Filip Stevanovic 24.1% 19.9% 18.1% 16.4% 9.4% 7.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 20.0% 22.4% 17.2% 15.9% 11.8% 7.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Nicholas Manfredi 20.5% 17.5% 18.1% 15.3% 12.4% 10.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Mike Preston 8.4% 11.0% 11.5% 13.6% 17.0% 14.4% 12.3% 9.1% 2.7%
Harrison Kempton 11.2% 13.5% 15.4% 14.2% 13.1% 13.2% 11.4% 5.5% 2.5%
Samantha Mislinski 4.6% 5.0% 6.4% 8.4% 10.2% 15.3% 19.4% 20.5% 10.2%
Audrey Fulk 3.5% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 9.4% 10.7% 19.7% 26.5% 18.3%
Natalie Lovelace 1.5% 0.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.7% 6.0% 8.7% 16.7% 58.3%
Natalie Jones 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 9.1% 14.0% 15.8% 16.7% 17.7% 7.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.