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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.90+2.40vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+1.27vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.08+0.07vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.31+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.35+0.56vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.12-1.23vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.87-0.35vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.97vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.79-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4SUNY Stony Brook0.900.2%1st Place
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3.27Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
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3.07Hampton University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.35Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Maryland-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.77William and Mary0.120.1%1st Place
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6.65William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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7.9Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Manfredi | 19.9% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 18.7% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 24.9% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Kempton | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Jones | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Mike Preston | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Audrey Fulk | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 27.4% | 18.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 10.8% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.