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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.86vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.50vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.68vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.73+2.28vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.06-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.35-0.25vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.90vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.79-0.13vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.87-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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3.5Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.68SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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6.28William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.35Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.87Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.6William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 50.6% | 25.9% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 11.2% | 18.8% | 23.4% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 11.1% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Bunting | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 13.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 15.6% | 21.8% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Jones | 3.5% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 7.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 8.3% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 55.5% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.