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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.41vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.47vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+1.03vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.73+1.75vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.93+2.29vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.12-1.21vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.78-3.65vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.37-2.74vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-3.56-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41SUNY Stony Brook1.410.3%1st Place
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3.47SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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4.03William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.75William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.29Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.79Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.35Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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8.65Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 34.7% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 16.2% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 11.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Parker Bunting | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 27.3% | 16.9% | 1.8% |
| Justin Harler | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 48.8% | 15.7% |
| John Dixon | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 6.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 17.8% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 0.9% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 12.3% | 81.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.