← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.43vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.37+2.19vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.78+0.35vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.80vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute-0.12-0.27vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-0.73-0.19vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-0.37-1.73vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-1.93-0.62vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University-3.56-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.43SUNY Stony Brook1.410.3%1st Place
-
4.19William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
-
3.35Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
-
3.2SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
-
4.73Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
-
5.81William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
-
5.27University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
-
7.38Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.63Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 34.1% | 27.6% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.5% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hayes | 18.7% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 19.9% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Dixon | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Parker Bunting | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 31.1% | 15.8% | 1.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 22.2% | 8.9% | 1.2% |
| Justin Harler | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 14.1% | 53.5% | 14.8% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 11.6% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.