← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute-0.12+3.43vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.26vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook0.79-0.02vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.37-0.40vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University-0.90+0.63vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary-0.73-0.56vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-0.37-2.10vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-1.93-0.82vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University-3.56-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
-
2.26SUNY Stony Brook1.410.4%1st Place
-
2.98SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
-
3.6William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.63Christopher Newport University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
5.44William and Mary-0.730.0%1st Place
-
4.9University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
-
7.18Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
-
8.59Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Dixon | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 37.8% | 26.9% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 22.0% | 22.1% | 21.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 13.9% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Carson Cooper | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 2.8% |
| Parker Bunting | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 12.4% | 1.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Justin Harler | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 48.0% | 13.9% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 10.8% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.