Race 4B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
James Gilmore III 21.5% 24.3% 18.2% 17.0% 9.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
John Dixon 6.4% 9.4% 14.6% 16.2% 18.5% 16.8% 12.2% 5.5% 0.4%
Jeremy McCauley 40.3% 27.4% 15.8% 10.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Chapin 14.2% 17.5% 19.7% 17.8% 16.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Madeline Mulligan 7.0% 9.4% 12.6% 14.6% 15.7% 18.7% 13.5% 7.5% 1.0%
Parker Bunting 4.4% 5.4% 9.0% 11.5% 14.9% 18.5% 23.3% 11.9% 1.1%
Carson Cooper 4.3% 4.7% 6.5% 8.4% 13.8% 18.7% 26.3% 14.7% 2.6%
Justin Harler 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 3.8% 4.9% 8.4% 15.4% 47.7% 13.9%
Khari Parrish 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 2.4% 2.8% 10.7% 80.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.