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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.79+2.26vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.37+2.15vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37-0.14vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.12-0.40vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.32+0.51vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.78-3.74vs Predicted
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8Hampton University-3.56+0.61vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-1.93-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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2.49SUNY Stony Brook1.410.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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3.86William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.6Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.51William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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3.26Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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8.61Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Gilmore III | 20.3% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 31.4% | 25.7% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 19.5% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| Connor Chapin | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Dixon | 7.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 31.9% | 27.7% | 4.8% |
| Luke Hayes | 18.6% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 80.7% |
| Justin Harler | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 19.1% | 46.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.