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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.39vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.37vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+0.94vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.12+0.61vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.78-1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.37-0.92vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.32-0.45vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.93-0.75vs Predicted
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9Hampton University-3.56-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39SUNY Stony Brook1.410.4%1st Place
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3.37SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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3.94William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.61Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.2Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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6.55William and Mary-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.25Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.61Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 35.7% | 23.8% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 15.3% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Dixon | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Luke Hayes | 20.5% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 18.3% | 7.3% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Coppersmith | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 32.7% | 26.8% | 5.6% |
| Justin Harler | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 46.9% | 13.8% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 12.0% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.