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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.38vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+0.18vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.37-0.24vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.12-1.49vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-3.56+1.27vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-1.93-1.24vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-3.43-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38SUNY Stony Brook1.410.4%1st Place
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3.3SUNY Stony Brook0.790.2%1st Place
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3.18Christopher Newport University0.780.2%1st Place
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3.71William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.51Webb Institute-0.120.1%1st Place
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8.27Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
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6.76Virginia Tech-1.930.0%1st Place
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8.12William and Mary-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy McCauley | 35.8% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 15.6% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 19.7% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 28.4% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| John Dixon | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 25.6% | 9.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 11.5% | 33.1% | 51.5% |
| Justin Harler | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 49.5% | 21.5% | 5.5% |
| Luke Erikson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 10.7% | 40.7% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.