Race 1A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabriel Hannon 14.2% 13.1% 14.1% 15.4% 15.4% 12.0% 8.3% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Caleb Robinson 22.8% 22.0% 17.9% 14.3% 8.7% 7.7% 4.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Baskin 8.3% 6.9% 9.0% 10.4% 11.1% 12.3% 16.6% 13.5% 7.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Adeline Schoen 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 8.4% 11.3% 13.7% 11.9% 15.5% 12.6% 8.8% 3.2% 0.9%
Blaire McCarthy 19.7% 20.7% 17.2% 13.6% 11.7% 7.1% 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 16.4% 17.4% 16.7% 14.7% 13.5% 8.9% 6.1% 4.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.9% 11.2% 12.9% 13.3% 13.0% 9.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.6%
Andrew Reynolds 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.5% 4.1% 5.1% 7.0% 11.1% 13.6% 18.6% 21.4% 9.4%
Brian Hayes 3.0% 2.6% 4.2% 3.7% 7.3% 10.5% 12.3% 14.1% 18.9% 14.9% 6.5% 2.0%
Tucker Braun 1.8% 1.3% 3.2% 3.7% 2.9% 5.8% 8.3% 10.1% 16.5% 20.5% 16.1% 9.8%
Jacob Philbrook 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 3.9% 5.0% 6.8% 12.6% 26.1% 39.7%
Colby Brennan 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.7% 3.0% 4.0% 9.7% 14.2% 23.2% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.