Race 2A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alexander Bowen 16.1% 14.6% 16.6% 15.7% 15.3% 9.0% 7.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Caleb Robinson 23.2% 20.6% 18.4% 14.1% 10.3% 7.5% 3.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Adeline Schoen 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 7.9% 9.7% 10.6% 13.5% 16.0% 14.0% 8.2% 3.3% 0.7%
Gabriel Hannon 13.5% 14.8% 16.5% 13.7% 13.2% 11.8% 7.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Baskin 6.9% 7.5% 8.5% 12.2% 11.9% 15.2% 13.5% 10.6% 7.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Blaire McCarthy 19.6% 19.2% 16.3% 15.1% 12.1% 8.2% 6.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Hayes 3.1% 4.1% 4.0% 4.6% 7.3% 8.6% 10.7% 15.2% 18.1% 13.0% 7.8% 3.5%
Lucie Ford 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 8.8% 11.4% 13.7% 14.7% 11.8% 9.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Colby Brennan 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.1% 2.7% 4.0% 5.3% 9.9% 14.3% 26.4% 32.9%
Andrew Reynolds 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.2% 5.9% 6.7% 11.7% 14.2% 21.1% 17.4% 10.1%
Jacob Philbrook 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 2.2% 3.5% 4.6% 6.4% 13.8% 21.8% 43.3%
Tucker Braun 1.5% 2.7% 1.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.6% 8.5% 11.1% 15.6% 19.6% 19.6% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.