Race 3A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Caleb Robinson 23.0% 19.6% 19.4% 15.2% 10.9% 6.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 16.3% 17.7% 15.9% 15.5% 11.9% 10.2% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Baskin 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 10.7% 11.7% 13.3% 15.6% 11.9% 7.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Gabriel Hannon 13.4% 13.9% 16.2% 13.8% 15.6% 11.2% 8.4% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 6.1% 6.5% 7.9% 9.6% 11.5% 13.7% 14.9% 12.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.4%
Adeline Schoen 4.5% 5.7% 6.3% 8.5% 7.8% 11.8% 13.4% 16.7% 12.6% 7.2% 5.0% 0.5%
Blaire McCarthy 22.4% 18.2% 16.5% 12.7% 12.9% 9.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Hayes 2.0% 4.1% 4.2% 4.3% 6.5% 9.5% 11.9% 14.4% 17.1% 14.3% 8.2% 3.5%
Tucker Braun 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 3.5% 4.4% 4.8% 8.9% 13.1% 16.2% 20.3% 15.6% 8.7%
Andrew Reynolds 0.8% 3.1% 2.2% 4.1% 2.9% 4.9% 6.5% 11.3% 16.4% 19.5% 17.5% 10.8%
Jacob Philbrook 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 4.7% 7.9% 12.1% 26.3% 39.5%
Colby Brennan 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 4.1% 8.2% 16.1% 23.6% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.