Race 4A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Blaire McCarthy 19.4% 18.4% 15.7% 15.9% 14.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 5.6% 7.5% 7.2% 9.9% 12.4% 12.0% 15.1% 12.0% 10.9% 5.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Colby Brennan 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 1.6% 2.9% 3.6% 5.2% 8.0% 13.7% 26.0% 34.4%
Caleb Robinson 23.1% 22.6% 17.8% 12.7% 10.9% 6.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Braun 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 2.8% 4.2% 5.6% 6.5% 11.6% 17.6% 17.6% 18.3% 9.8%
Brian Hayes 2.8% 2.7% 5.0% 5.6% 5.1% 8.3% 9.6% 16.3% 16.9% 15.9% 9.2% 2.6%
Andrew Reynolds 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 5.2% 8.0% 11.6% 13.6% 20.4% 16.9% 11.3%
Gabriel Hannon 15.8% 15.3% 14.1% 13.0% 13.2% 13.0% 7.2% 5.0% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Adeline Schoen 3.7% 4.4% 7.9% 9.1% 10.0% 10.9% 16.7% 14.0% 12.0% 7.4% 2.9% 1.0%
Alexander Baskin 7.3% 7.2% 9.3% 11.2% 10.8% 15.5% 14.0% 11.5% 7.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Jacob Philbrook 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.0% 2.0% 3.5% 4.5% 8.7% 12.7% 23.7% 40.4%
Alexander Bowen 16.7% 15.8% 16.7% 14.5% 12.4% 11.3% 6.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.