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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.41+4.06vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.08+3.91vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.90+5.86vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.01+1.85vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+1.92vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52+1.05vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60-2.65vs Predicted
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8-0.08-1.92vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.79-0.94vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.43-5.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93-2.65vs Predicted
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12Fordham University-0.26-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of Texas0.4113.0%1st Place
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5.91Princeton University-0.089.0%1st Place
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8.86Williams College-0.903.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Michigan-0.019.6%1st Place
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6.92Florida Institute of Technology-0.486.2%1st Place
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7.05SUNY Maritime College-0.526.9%1st Place
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4.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6015.1%1st Place
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6.08-0.088.8%1st Place
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8.06Washington College-0.795.1%1st Place
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4.71Columbia University0.4313.2%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.934.3%1st Place
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6.81Fordham University-0.265.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Advik Eswaran | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 27.5% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Sam Carson | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Aubrey Walton | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 20.5% |
| Robert Upton | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.