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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.44+2.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.83+4.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.76vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.10+1.94vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.35+2.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-1.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28-3.62vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.26-2.50vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.01-0.77vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.12-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Boston University2.440.2%1st Place
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6.48Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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3.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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5.94Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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7.63Sacred Heart University0.350.0%1st Place
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4.11Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.38Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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5.5Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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8.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Robinson | 22.7% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Brian Hayes | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 14.8% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 20.3% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 9.7% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 9.1% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 35.3% |
| Jacob Philbrook | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.