Race 1B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Skye Shepherd 20.2% 18.1% 17.1% 15.2% 14.1% 8.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Montgomery 9.8% 10.0% 12.4% 11.1% 13.5% 14.7% 14.8% 9.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Camden Baer 2.5% 3.6% 3.4% 2.9% 5.1% 7.0% 11.0% 25.2% 24.5% 12.4% 2.4%
Ben Arquit 12.4% 11.5% 12.8% 14.4% 14.4% 14.1% 11.3% 6.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline King 18.4% 17.8% 16.1% 13.9% 10.7% 9.4% 8.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephen Poirier 9.8% 11.8% 11.0% 13.9% 13.3% 13.7% 13.2% 9.1% 3.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Carter Brock 16.7% 16.9% 13.9% 13.5% 13.1% 12.2% 7.6% 4.2% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 7.8% 7.9% 10.4% 11.4% 11.0% 13.6% 18.3% 12.2% 5.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Jesus Esgueva 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 6.2% 17.2% 39.7% 26.3%
Wynn Simmons 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 4.1% 6.6% 16.3% 31.9% 24.2% 7.6%
Maxwell Miller 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 4.6% 8.0% 20.3% 63.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.