Race 2B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emma Montgomery 8.3% 10.1% 11.4% 11.9% 11.8% 17.8% 14.4% 9.5% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 22.6% 18.7% 17.1% 14.4% 10.8% 9.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline King 16.9% 17.0% 14.8% 14.2% 14.6% 11.4% 6.8% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Carter Brock 13.9% 13.3% 14.4% 15.1% 14.9% 11.1% 10.0% 4.7% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Stephen Poirier 10.8% 12.1% 11.3% 11.9% 12.4% 13.5% 14.8% 9.1% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Camden Baer 2.5% 2.6% 4.1% 4.1% 5.1% 7.5% 11.0% 25.4% 24.1% 11.0% 2.6%
Ben Arquit 15.4% 15.2% 13.7% 15.0% 12.0% 10.9% 9.6% 6.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 7.7% 8.1% 10.4% 10.1% 13.6% 11.6% 16.6% 14.7% 5.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Jesus Esgueva 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 6.1% 15.9% 42.7% 25.2%
Maxwell Miller 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 2.7% 8.7% 20.3% 64.2%
Wynn Simmons 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 6.9% 15.9% 32.4% 23.5% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.