Race 3B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ben Arquit 10.7% 14.8% 12.3% 14.5% 15.2% 12.2% 10.0% 7.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 22.0% 17.8% 17.0% 14.5% 11.2% 9.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen Poirier 9.4% 10.3% 10.6% 12.1% 13.5% 12.5% 16.3% 10.4% 4.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Juan Briano 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 5.7% 8.8% 10.3% 15.2% 24.3% 14.1% 6.0% 0.9%
Wynn Simmons 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 4.3% 5.2% 10.7% 32.3% 29.1% 9.0%
Emma Montgomery 10.2% 10.4% 10.2% 12.0% 11.7% 14.0% 14.0% 10.8% 6.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Caroline King 21.0% 17.2% 16.1% 13.6% 11.6% 8.5% 7.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 8.1% 6.8% 10.4% 10.7% 12.6% 12.8% 12.7% 15.8% 8.1% 2.0% 0.0%
Carter Brock 12.8% 15.0% 13.9% 13.9% 11.6% 12.7% 10.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Maxwell Miller 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.4% 1.0% 2.8% 8.1% 20.3% 65.0%
Jesus Esgueva 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 5.5% 19.9% 40.4% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.