Race 4B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Carter Brock 12.3% 14.7% 15.6% 13.2% 15.5% 12.7% 9.1% 5.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephen Poirier 9.4% 11.6% 12.1% 13.4% 11.2% 14.4% 11.8% 10.5% 4.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 6.9% 7.1% 8.1% 8.8% 10.8% 12.7% 17.9% 16.0% 9.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Ben Arquit 12.4% 12.7% 11.9% 13.5% 14.7% 12.4% 11.6% 7.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Caroline King 19.2% 16.2% 15.8% 15.0% 12.9% 8.3% 7.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Montgomery 9.7% 10.3% 11.3% 11.7% 12.3% 14.8% 12.4% 11.7% 4.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Skye Shepherd 23.8% 19.6% 17.0% 13.6% 11.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Wynn Simmons 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 5.9% 12.1% 33.4% 28.9% 7.9%
Juan Briano 4.4% 5.3% 5.4% 7.7% 7.3% 11.5% 14.4% 22.4% 15.8% 4.6% 1.2%
Jesus Esgueva 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 2.7% 3.3% 5.3% 17.5% 40.8% 26.2%
Maxwell Miller 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.7% 7.6% 21.3% 64.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.