Race 5B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stephen Poirier 8.5% 10.8% 11.5% 13.0% 14.5% 15.7% 13.4% 8.2% 4.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Caroline King 18.9% 18.4% 17.8% 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 7.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Montgomery 9.6% 9.7% 11.0% 11.8% 13.5% 13.3% 14.8% 11.5% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Carter Brock 14.0% 13.0% 14.3% 14.7% 13.7% 12.1% 10.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Ben Arquit 14.8% 14.1% 12.7% 14.7% 13.5% 11.8% 10.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Wynn Simmons 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 3.8% 3.5% 5.4% 13.7% 31.2% 27.2% 9.5%
Camden Baer 3.8% 3.4% 3.1% 5.0% 5.2% 8.2% 11.6% 26.4% 20.6% 10.7% 2.0%
Maya Stephani 7.9% 7.6% 11.1% 11.7% 10.4% 13.9% 15.9% 13.1% 7.2% 0.9% 0.3%
Skye Shepherd 20.6% 20.8% 16.1% 14.1% 11.5% 8.0% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jesus Esgueva 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 7.1% 17.9% 39.6% 24.8%
Maxwell Miller 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 9.3% 20.2% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.