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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.79+2.11vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.31+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.04-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.69-0.81vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.76+0.53vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.44+1.83vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.67-1.43vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.29-3.15vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.80-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Michigan0.790.2%1st Place
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4.04Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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3.19University of Notre Dame0.690.2%1st Place
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5.53Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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7.83Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
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5.57Michigan State University-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.85Marquette University-0.290.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Michigan-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison George | 21.1% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 10.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 28.9% | 23.7% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Di Lella | 21.3% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 23.5% | 12.5% | 3.2% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 39.6% | 37.5% |
| Thomas Libcke | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 27.0% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Karl Wagerson | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Ainesh Shintre | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 28.2% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.