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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.04+1.33vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.31+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.79-0.36vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.67+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.03+1.80vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.44+1.46vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.00-1.58vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.29-3.75vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.80-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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3.45Purdue University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.64University of Michigan0.790.3%1st Place
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4.8Michigan State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.46Western Michigan University-2.440.0%1st Place
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5.42Ohio State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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4.25Marquette University-0.290.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Michigan-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Szymanski | 33.8% | 28.3% | 19.4% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mehmet Karatoprak | 13.2% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 19.9% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harrison George | 28.4% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Libcke | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 22.1% | 25.6% | 17.9% |
| Cassidy Chalut | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 32.1% | 30.4% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Karl Wagerson | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Ainesh Shintre | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 24.4% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.