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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.41+4.20vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+2.36vs Predicted
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3-0.08+3.20vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.08+1.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93+3.40vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+1.30vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.90+1.98vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.86vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.79-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.01-4.08vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.43-6.18vs Predicted
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12Fordham University-0.26-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2University of Texas0.4112.0%1st Place
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4.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6016.6%1st Place
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6.2-0.088.0%1st Place
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5.9Princeton University-0.088.8%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.933.5%1st Place
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7.3Florida Institute of Technology-0.485.2%1st Place
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8.98Williams College-0.903.4%1st Place
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6.14SUNY Maritime College-0.139.0%1st Place
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8.13Washington College-0.794.5%1st Place
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5.92University of Michigan-0.019.1%1st Place
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4.82Columbia University0.4312.5%1st Place
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6.66Fordham University-0.267.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Sam Carson | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marc Leyk | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Advik Eswaran | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Aubrey Walton | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 29.9% |
| Luke Barker | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 18.1% |
| Samuel Stephens | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Robert Upton | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.