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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Voss 45.8% 26.6% 14.9% 7.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Chambers 9.3% 11.0% 13.2% 14.7% 15.1% 11.3% 9.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jasper Curry 6.7% 10.8% 13.6% 13.5% 12.3% 14.5% 11.5% 8.3% 4.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Drew Lisicki 6.8% 9.3% 11.9% 15.0% 12.8% 11.8% 10.6% 9.6% 6.5% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Rachael Silverstein 14.8% 18.4% 17.3% 13.9% 13.2% 10.2% 5.7% 3.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Kindervater 2.4% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 8.2% 8.4% 9.5% 13.3% 14.3% 11.2% 10.7% 5.6% 1.1%
Ian Nora 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 10.7% 12.7% 12.7% 12.6% 8.8% 4.7% 1.3%
Cole Barney 3.1% 4.4% 5.4% 5.5% 7.5% 7.8% 11.9% 13.9% 12.1% 12.8% 9.5% 4.8% 1.3%
Andrew Battigaglia 4.0% 6.5% 6.3% 8.3% 9.9% 12.5% 13.2% 10.5% 11.2% 9.3% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6%
Duncan MacLeod 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 7.8% 10.7% 18.7% 23.5% 17.7%
Wesley Wallace 1.3% 1.8% 3.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 10.2% 11.7% 16.6% 14.8% 12.3% 5.8%
Patrick Oglesby 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 2.7% 3.0% 5.2% 7.0% 12.0% 21.5% 43.2%
Eduardo Leal 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 6.2% 10.2% 16.5% 24.1% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.