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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+0.54vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.87+0.41vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.11-0.21vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.43+0.96vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.80-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.28-1.22vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.01-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Michigan1.410.6%1st Place
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2.54University of Notre Dame0.600.2%1st Place
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5.64Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Notre Dame-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.79Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.96Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.43Ohio State University-0.800.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Michigan-2.280.0%1st Place
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7.77Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 56.2% | 27.7% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 21.5% | 35.2% | 23.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 4.9% |
| Alana Lanser | 5.4% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Etain McKinney | 4.7% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| natalie dugan | 6.3% | 8.8% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Katerina Siavelis | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 24.0% | 20.0% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.