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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.67vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.60+0.54vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.87+0.41vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.11-0.20vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.80-1.64vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-3.01+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.28-1.23vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-2.43-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67University of Michigan1.410.6%1st Place
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2.54University of Notre Dame0.600.2%1st Place
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5.68Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Notre Dame-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.8Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.36Ohio State University-0.800.1%1st Place
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7.81Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Michigan-2.280.0%1st Place
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6.95Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 56.0% | 27.5% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 21.1% | 36.0% | 22.7% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Alana Lanser | 5.6% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Etain McKinney | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| natalie dugan | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 20.1% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 50.6% |
| Katerina Siavelis | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 25.4% | 18.9% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 28.7% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.