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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.41+0.80vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.51+4.32vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.53+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.60-1.37vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.11+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.87-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.27-1.17vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-0.79-3.16vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-2.43-1.08vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-3.01-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Michigan1.410.5%1st Place
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6.32Ohio State University-1.510.0%1st Place
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6.43Michigan State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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2.63University of Notre Dame0.600.2%1st Place
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5.46Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Notre Dame-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Michigan-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.84Hillsdale College-0.790.0%1st Place
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7.92Purdue University-2.430.0%1st Place
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8.78Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherman Thompson | 52.7% | 26.5% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Lawrence | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 5.7% |
| Eva Rossell | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 5.8% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 21.0% | 32.0% | 24.4% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Alana Lanser | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Braden DeLaney | 2.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Francis Lucchetti | 4.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Courtney Hamilton | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 29.6% | 25.8% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.