Race 1A

central-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kathryn Bornarth 25.6% 20.5% 18.8% 12.6% 9.6% 5.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Braden Foster 10.8% 13.4% 12.4% 13.4% 12.5% 11.2% 10.8% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Kyle Nannig 20.1% 19.5% 14.8% 13.9% 11.8% 10.2% 5.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Crane 7.2% 8.7% 9.2% 11.8% 12.1% 10.8% 11.7% 11.8% 8.6% 6.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Lucie Ford 11.3% 11.2% 14.5% 11.7% 10.8% 12.6% 9.2% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 5.7% 7.2% 7.7% 7.8% 9.0% 11.0% 14.1% 13.2% 11.8% 8.7% 3.5% 0.3%
Timothy Burns 5.7% 5.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 9.7% 12.0% 12.2% 14.0% 12.1% 5.2% 0.3%
Adam Gibbs 7.8% 6.4% 8.1% 8.5% 10.2% 10.9% 11.7% 12.7% 12.0% 8.2% 3.0% 0.5%
Brian Kiley 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 5.6% 7.9% 8.6% 10.9% 12.6% 17.4% 18.0% 8.6% 1.0%
Clayton Greig 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 3.4% 5.6% 13.3% 43.4% 23.4%
Lauren Miller 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 4.5% 5.3% 6.3% 7.7% 11.2% 14.6% 23.0% 16.5% 3.2%
Abbey Rogers 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 4.4% 16.8% 71.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.