Race 2A

central-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kathryn Bornarth 24.7% 21.7% 18.7% 13.0% 9.4% 6.2% 3.1% 1.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Nannig 19.7% 18.3% 16.2% 13.2% 11.8% 9.0% 6.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
William Crane 9.3% 7.7% 9.2% 10.0% 9.5% 12.7% 13.1% 12.6% 8.1% 6.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Lucie Ford 8.2% 14.2% 13.2% 13.6% 11.2% 11.1% 10.2% 8.7% 5.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Maya Stephani 6.1% 6.5% 7.1% 8.9% 10.0% 11.9% 11.5% 12.1% 11.9% 9.9% 3.7% 0.4%
Braden Foster 12.8% 11.1% 10.2% 13.6% 13.7% 11.9% 9.9% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Timothy Burns 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 8.4% 9.8% 9.1% 10.5% 14.1% 14.0% 11.2% 4.6% 0.6%
Brian Kiley 3.3% 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 6.8% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 15.9% 19.9% 10.4% 1.4%
Adam Gibbs 6.0% 5.4% 9.5% 8.8% 11.0% 12.3% 13.7% 11.8% 11.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.1%
Lauren Miller 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 5.6% 9.0% 10.4% 16.5% 22.8% 14.3% 2.0%
Clayton Greig 1.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 4.6% 5.5% 12.1% 43.8% 25.0%
Abbey Rogers 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.4% 1.7% 2.7% 3.5% 18.6% 70.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.