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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.41+3.57vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.08+3.60vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+0.68vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.43+0.27vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.26+1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-0.65vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-0.74vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.90+0.25vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.79-1.57vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.13-4.33vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.93-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Webb Institute1.7342.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Texas0.418.3%1st Place
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6.6Princeton University-0.085.2%1st Place
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4.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6010.9%1st Place
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5.27Columbia University0.439.1%1st Place
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7.06Fordham University-0.264.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Michigan-0.016.0%1st Place
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7.26Florida Institute of Technology-0.484.0%1st Place
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9.25Williams College-0.901.8%1st Place
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8.43Washington College-0.792.1%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Maritime College-0.133.9%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.932.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 42.0% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Advik Eswaran | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Sam Carson | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Robert Upton | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 32.4% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| Luke Barker | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Aubrey Walton | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.