Race 3A

central-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kathryn Bornarth 24.1% 21.6% 16.9% 14.1% 10.2% 6.5% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 9.0% 12.6% 12.8% 11.7% 14.4% 11.5% 11.3% 7.3% 5.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Brian Kiley 4.6% 2.8% 4.3% 5.7% 5.2% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 17.9% 19.8% 10.4% 0.9%
Braden Foster 9.3% 12.8% 12.0% 15.5% 10.7% 13.0% 10.1% 7.6% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Maya Stephani 5.9% 6.2% 7.3% 8.2% 11.1% 11.2% 12.9% 13.5% 10.9% 9.4% 3.0% 0.4%
William Crane 7.7% 9.1% 9.3% 9.9% 11.5% 12.4% 11.6% 11.2% 10.2% 5.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Timothy Burns 5.5% 5.0% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 10.0% 11.6% 14.2% 12.7% 11.4% 5.0% 0.8%
Adam Gibbs 7.8% 6.0% 8.8% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 13.0% 12.8% 11.9% 8.1% 3.2% 0.3%
Kyle Nannig 21.3% 19.7% 16.4% 12.5% 11.4% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Miller 3.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.7% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 11.8% 15.1% 22.3% 14.5% 2.1%
Clayton Greig 1.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 5.0% 4.7% 13.4% 43.0% 25.2%
Abbey Rogers 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 2.3% 4.5% 17.8% 70.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.