Race 4A

central-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Braden Foster 10.2% 12.4% 12.5% 13.1% 13.9% 11.1% 10.9% 7.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Lucie Ford 10.7% 11.1% 13.0% 13.2% 12.4% 11.6% 11.5% 8.3% 5.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Timothy Burns 6.0% 5.3% 5.8% 8.2% 8.5% 10.3% 10.5% 14.1% 14.8% 11.2% 4.8% 0.5%
Kathryn Bornarth 23.9% 24.2% 16.9% 12.2% 10.9% 4.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Maya Stephani 5.6% 6.5% 8.2% 8.1% 9.8% 12.9% 11.6% 12.6% 11.7% 8.8% 3.5% 0.7%
William Crane 7.5% 8.9% 10.4% 10.5% 11.2% 12.9% 11.8% 10.9% 9.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 7.1% 7.0% 7.7% 10.0% 9.6% 11.3% 12.0% 11.1% 12.0% 8.7% 3.3% 0.2%
Kyle Nannig 21.4% 18.0% 15.4% 14.0% 11.2% 8.7% 6.2% 2.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Clayton Greig 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.8% 6.1% 15.1% 43.8% 22.0%
Lauren Miller 3.0% 3.3% 4.6% 3.5% 4.7% 7.2% 8.1% 12.3% 14.1% 23.6% 13.4% 2.2%
Brian Kiley 3.5% 2.4% 4.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.7% 9.8% 12.8% 16.3% 19.2% 11.2% 2.3%
Abbey Rogers 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 3.8% 16.5% 71.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.