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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.59+0.33vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+0.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.39+2.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.68+3.17vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.61-4.26vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.58-3.00vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.61-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.78-2.17vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-2.30-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Rhode Island1.180.2%1st Place
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2.33University of South Florida1.590.3%1st Place
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3.87Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.84University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.680.0%1st Place
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3.74Salve Regina University0.610.2%1st Place
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6.0Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.3University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.780.0%1st Place
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9.75Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Haviland | 22.1% | 22.4% | 21.9% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 34.7% | 29.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 13.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
| John Bogush | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Christopher King | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Austin Schofield | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 40.6% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 15.5% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kostas | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| David Swan | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| Anna Nelson | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 23.2% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.