Race 2B

central-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Meghan Haviland 23.9% 23.0% 21.2% 15.8% 9.3% 4.6% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Palmer 11.4% 16.7% 17.4% 18.1% 15.4% 10.9% 6.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaney Brown 36.7% 26.2% 18.3% 10.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 13.0% 15.9% 16.9% 19.0% 14.9% 10.4% 5.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.3% 2.5% 3.6% 4.5% 7.0% 9.9% 12.6% 13.1% 15.0% 14.5% 10.4% 5.6%
Alexander Kostas 4.4% 4.1% 7.4% 9.9% 10.9% 15.3% 17.4% 13.8% 9.0% 4.6% 2.8% 0.4%
Christopher King 4.5% 4.7% 6.5% 8.7% 13.7% 14.2% 15.7% 13.1% 9.7% 5.5% 3.0% 0.7%
David Swan 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.4% 6.3% 7.2% 10.4% 13.2% 15.3% 17.2% 13.4% 7.2%
John Bogush 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 4.2% 7.1% 10.2% 13.2% 16.6% 13.4% 14.6% 11.1% 3.8%
Austin Schofield 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.1% 3.4% 4.6% 9.3% 11.8% 19.2% 42.5%
Anna Nelson 1.4% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 4.1% 7.6% 8.3% 12.7% 14.2% 16.6% 16.8% 13.1%
Katherine Boback 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 6.9% 11.9% 14.8% 23.3% 26.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.