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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.17+0.92vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.61+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.59-1.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65+1.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+1.82vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.58-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.61+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.39-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.78-1.38vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-2.30-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.68-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Rhode Island1.170.2%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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2.33University of South Florida1.590.4%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.06Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.29University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.78University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.780.0%1st Place
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9.77Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 12.0% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 22.3% | 24.0% | 22.4% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 14.2% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 36.7% | 26.2% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher King | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Kostas | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| David Swan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 7.4% |
| John Bogush | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Anna Nelson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 11.2% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 27.1% |
| Austin Schofield | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.