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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.17+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59-0.66vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.61-0.19vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+2.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.65+0.29vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.58-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.61+0.26vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.39-1.19vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.78-1.38vs Predicted
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11Amherst College-2.30-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.68-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Northeastern University0.570.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Rhode Island1.170.2%1st Place
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2.34University of South Florida1.590.4%1st Place
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3.81Salve Regina University0.610.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.08Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.26University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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7.81University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.780.0%1st Place
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9.75Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 13.1% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Gimple | 23.4% | 23.9% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 35.3% | 27.2% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 5.4% |
| Christopher King | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Kostas | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| David Swan | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 7.4% |
| John Bogush | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Anna Nelson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 11.5% |
| Katherine Boback | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 23.5% | 26.7% |
| Austin Schofield | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.