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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+0.13vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.31+1.64vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.44-0.84vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.60-0.61vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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2.13University of South Florida2.250.4%1st Place
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4.64Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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3.16North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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4.39Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.62Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 18.3% | 23.7% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 40.4% | 26.3% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 24.2% | 40.5% |
| Travis Tucker | 16.8% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 5.4% |
| Henry Proud | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 21.7% | 33.4% |
| Daniel Hodges | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 21.2% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.