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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.44+1.67vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.31+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.25-1.19vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11-1.02vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.60-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.93Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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1.81University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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2.98Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.61Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Tucker | 21.7% | 26.2% | 26.0% | 15.9% | 10.2% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.1% | 7.3% | 17.0% | 26.5% | 43.1% |
| Jensen McTighe | 49.7% | 27.7% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Hodges | 13.6% | 24.8% | 24.9% | 23.4% | 13.3% |
| Henry Proud | 8.9% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 28.4% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.