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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.44+1.66vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.05vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.31+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.25-2.18vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.60-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.05Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.9Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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1.82University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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3.57Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Tucker | 21.3% | 27.8% | 24.5% | 16.3% | 10.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 14.1% | 19.8% | 27.0% | 24.9% | 14.2% |
| Harrison Kempton | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 44.4% |
| Jensen McTighe | 48.4% | 30.1% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Henry Proud | 9.2% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 29.5% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.