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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Voss 45.1% 26.6% 15.4% 7.9% 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Chambers 9.2% 10.9% 13.5% 14.5% 13.3% 12.1% 10.6% 8.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Drew Lisicki 6.3% 9.1% 11.1% 14.5% 12.0% 14.5% 11.2% 8.7% 7.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Rachael Silverstein 13.3% 17.0% 19.3% 13.5% 12.8% 10.3% 7.7% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Cole Barney 3.8% 3.9% 5.1% 6.8% 8.8% 8.0% 9.2% 11.9% 14.0% 14.5% 8.1% 5.3% 0.6%
Jasper Curry 8.4% 11.3% 12.9% 14.5% 13.5% 11.1% 11.1% 7.5% 5.1% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucas Kindervater 3.6% 4.7% 4.5% 6.1% 8.7% 7.0% 9.8% 13.5% 11.7% 13.8% 9.6% 5.8% 1.2%
Ian Nora 2.8% 4.7% 4.6% 5.8% 7.4% 10.2% 10.1% 13.0% 15.1% 11.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5%
Wesley Wallace 1.2% 2.5% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 9.4% 11.7% 15.4% 18.5% 12.0% 7.5%
Patrick Oglesby 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 7.4% 13.5% 21.8% 41.0%
Andrew Battigaglia 4.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.2% 10.9% 11.7% 14.1% 11.6% 10.6% 7.9% 2.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Duncan MacLeod 0.7% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 5.0% 5.6% 8.1% 9.8% 18.8% 22.7% 19.5%
Eduardo Leal 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 4.6% 6.9% 9.8% 15.9% 24.9% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.