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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.44+0.65vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+0.03vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.60-0.41vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.31-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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2.65North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University1.110.2%1st Place
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3.59Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.9Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 49.3% | 27.6% | 14.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Travis Tucker | 20.3% | 28.0% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 7.3% |
| Daniel Hodges | 15.6% | 19.6% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 14.4% |
| Henry Proud | 7.9% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 26.8% | 31.1% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 23.6% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.