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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+0.81vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+1.03vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+0.60vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.31-0.09vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.44-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of South Florida2.250.5%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.6Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.91Christopher Newport University0.310.1%1st Place
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2.66North Carolina State University1.440.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 50.4% | 27.6% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 13.5% | 22.9% | 25.2% | 24.2% | 14.2% |
| Henry Proud | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 27.1% | 32.0% |
| Harrison Kempton | 6.0% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 23.9% | 44.1% |
| Travis Tucker | 21.0% | 26.7% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.